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LARGE LANGUAGE MODELS AS MARKOV CHAINS

The podcast on this paper is generated with Google's Illuminate.

The paper establishes a theoretical framework for analyzing LLMs by modeling them as finite-state Markov chains.

📚 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.02724

Original Problem 🧠:

- A comprehensive theoretical analysis of the impressive performance of large language models (LLMs) remains elusive.

- There is no widely accepted agreement on how LLMs achieve reasoning capabilities beyond their training data.

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Solution in this Paper 💡:

- Draws an equivalence between generic autoregressive language models and Markov chains on a finite state space

- Analyzes the transition matrix of the equivalent Markov chain

- Proves existence and uniqueness of stationary distribution

- Derives convergence rate to stationary distribution

- Proves pre-training and in-context generalization bounds

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Key Insights from this Paper 💡:

- LLMs can be modeled as finite-state Markov chains despite their seemingly infinite generation capacity

- Stationary distribution captures LLM's understanding of natural language in its token space

- Convergence to stationary distribution depends on context window size and model temperature

- Generalization bounds depend on model depth, dictionary size, dataset size, and properties of training sequences

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Results 📊:

- Recent LLMs (2023-2024) obey in-context scaling laws predicted by theoretical results

- LLMs are better Markov chain learners than minimax optimal frequentist approach

- Experimental validation on Mistral 7B, Llama2, and Gemma models

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