Despite reasoning upgrades, OpenAI's o1-preview's brain still thinks in probabilities, just like earlier language models.
Original Problem ๐:
LLMs trained on next-word prediction show limitations when used for reasoning tasks. Previous research identified "embers of autoregression" - behavioral patterns resulting from this training objective.
Solution in this Paper ๐ง :
โข Analyzes OpenAI's o1 model, optimized for reasoning using reinforcement learning
โข Evaluates o1 on tasks like decoding ciphers, Pig Latin, article swapping, and word list reversal
โข Compares o1's performance to other LLMs on common and rare task variants
โข Examines o1's token usage as an additional metric of task difficulty
Key Insights from this Paper ๐ก:
โข o1 outperforms previous LLMs, especially on rare task variants
โข Despite optimization for reasoning, o1 still shows sensitivity to output probability and task frequency
โข Token usage reveals difficulty differences even when accuracy is similar
โข Probability sensitivity may arise from text generation process and chain-of-thought development
Results ๐:
โข o1 accuracy on shift ciphers: 47% (low-probability) to 92% (high-probability)
โข o1 shows less task frequency sensitivity than other LLMs
โข o1 uses more tokens for low-probability examples and rare task variants
โข o1 achieves 100% accuracy on common acronym task, 99.9% on rare variant
๐งฎ The findings related to o1's sensitivity to task frequency
o1 showed less sensitivity to task frequency compared to other LLMs, often performing similarly on common and rare task variants. However, when faced with more challenging versions of tasks, o1 did display some sensitivity to task frequency, performing better on common variants.


